WHAT'S SHAKIN'

New City Renaissance Created by Ed Campaņa

Vol. 2 No. 1 January, 1997

 

WHAT'S IT WORTH 1996?

This issue is devoted to the delineation of the 1996 comparable sales prices for all the units sold within the South of Market Area in buildings which Ed Campaņa specializes. These buildings include: 355 Bryant, Baycrest, The Clock Tower, Hills Plaza, The Lofts, Museum Parc, The Portside, Portrero Square and South Park.

The market has been red hot the first quarter of 1997, with very little inventory and a great number of new buyers. Now is an advantageous time for Sellers to be on the market.

As I have indicated before, unless a building is located in a terrific location, eg, South Park, the historic sites will command a better price than buildings built from the ground up. There have been a number of new developments that have come on line this year. The next issue of What's Shakin' will track the sales activity in all of the new developments which have sold out in 1996 and early 1997. I think you will be pleased with the performance of your buildings from the stand point of value.

So What's Really Shakin'?

When units in the South of Market are selling close to a million dollars, you know that real estate in the area is recovering and recovering well. If you review the comps, you will see the both condominiums and lofts command the high end dollar. The product in the area is a microcosm of the City's Condominium market. The area has product that appeals to all strata of the population of the City at large. The market is now at a point where buying or selling have equal advantage. Sellers are doing well because there isn't much inventory and rates are still down. On the other hand Buyers are doing well because prices have remained reasonable in a low supply, high demand market.

SOMA Makes the News

Almost every day you pick up the news paper some issue involving the SOMA will appear. From the architecture of a small plaza of the proposed Jewish Museum, to the twenty year plan for Folsom Street. The good news is that you are --or can be-- a part of it ,or is that the bad news?

Of course it's good news! It indicates that the area is news. It indicates that the most exciting place to be in the City is the South of Market. It indicates that people, development, vision and money are heading your way. What's unique about this moment in our City's history is that the opportunity for major development is there; the plan is in place; the Board of Stupes is focused on other maters; and the synergy between the public sector, private sector, and reality is in tact. This synergy has to be attributed to the efforts of the various groups watching over the area, especially the Transbay 20/20 group.

One example which appeared most recently in the news was the finalization of the plan for the GAP building. The GAP agreed to move their tower back from Folsom Street and away from the Hills Plaza Condominium Complex, reduce the building height by two floors, widen the sidewalk to 23 feet and build and maintain an Embarcadero Park at the foot of their building to the East. This is a clear indication of the private and public sectors coming together in compromise. It is also the 1st step towards commitment to the Folsom Boulevard concept as laid out in the previous news letter. Great news!

Along similar lines, the Port Authority has proposed plans to develop the Waterfront in favor of the environment. The plan calls for a Fisherman's Wharf Plaza, a Brannan Street Green which will resemble the Marina Green and an open plaza between Piers 15 and 27. The plan is expected to come to a vote this Spring.

The Mayor recently did something with which I strongly agree. He appointed Jim Morales to head up the Redevelopment Agency. Jim is one of the "good guys". His leadership will hopefully move us closer to the current vision of what the South of Market should be. He will have to deal with the mega buildings going in around 3rd and Mission. On the Northeast corner of that intersection, a 40-47 story, 500 unit apartment building is planned. Additionally, two 30 story hotels have been approved for Mission at Third and Howard at Third respectively. And finally a 40 story, extended stay-time share tower will be going up on Market between 3rd an 4th Street.

As most of you are aware the City is planning a new Bus Depot, just southeast of the Transbay Terminal. The new depot will serve Greyhound, AC Transit, Sam Trans and be the terminus for Eight Muni lines. The proposed new $124.5 million depot is perceived as a livelier place than the current Transbay Terminal, with retail space surrounding the ground floor. There are alternative plans that are less costly but have their problems. With no major delays the new depot should be complete by the year 2,000, just in time for Giants opening day at Pac Bell Park.

Last but not least, Caltrans, not satisfied with disrupting traffic on the East side of the Bay Bridge will be initiating the retrofit of the West approach to the Bay Bridge. This effort is currently scheduled to begin in the spring of 1988 and could continue for several years. The work will focus on the section between seventh street and the bridge. Traffic should clear in time for the second or third opening day at Pac Bell Parc.

In summary, we are in the thick of it. The plan is in motion, the vision true, and destiny will have the final word.

And as an aside, a great supporter of that vision is gone. God knows we'll miss you...

Comparable Sales 1996

355 Bryant       44 Units
                   
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size  
Feb   207   $229,000   1-1   1,045  
Sept   106   $235,000   1-1   1,095  
Nov   310   $325,000   1.5   1,698  
Baycrest   201 Harrison   286 Units      
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size       Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size
Jan   823   $85,000   0-1   410       Sept   112   $95,000   0-1   432
Mar   413   $140,000   1-1   658           613   $180,00   2-2   736
    720   $225,000   2-2   797           920   $218,000   2-2   797
May   627   $268,000   2-2   1,105       Oct   203   $203,000   2-2   1,105
June   201   $100,000   0-1   432       Nov   315   $115,000   0-1   485
    103   $250,000   2-2   1,077           426   $188,000   1-1   795
Jul   404   $169,000   1-1   785       Dec   802   $132,000   0-1   432
Aug   224   $117,000   0-1   432                        
ClockTower   461 Second Street   127 Units    
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size       Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size          
Jan   218   $266,000   1-1   1,023       June   237   $327,000   1-1   1,306          
    451   $308,000   1-1   1,398           312   $355,000   1-2   1,334          
    332   $450,000   2-2   1,628       Aug   452   $340,000   1-2   1,724          
Feb   210   $260,000   1-1   1,054       Sept   252   $147,000   0-1   515          
    122   $180,000   1-1   781       Oct   121   $182,000   1-1   824          
Mar   456   $355,000   1-2   1,560           115   $215,000   1-1   769          
April   209   $153,000   0-1   510                                  
    309   $270,000   0-1   652                                  
    307   $430,000   1-2   1,574                                  
May   134   $208,000   1-1   860                                  
HILLS PLAZA     75 Folsom Street   67 Units  
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size       Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size  
Mar   902   $320,000   2-2   1,177       June   904   $330,000   1-1   951  
April   906   $445,000   2-1   1,023       Sept   1401   $230,000   1-1   844  
May   1402   $470,000   2-2   1,302       Oct   905   $280,000   1-1   804  
    1403   $682,000   2-3   1,507       Nov   1203   $312,000   1-1   1,145  
                        Dec   1700   332,000   1-1   1,066  
LOFTS   601 Fouth Streeet       88 Units  
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size       Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size    
Mar   321   $286,000   1-1   1,502       Oct   227   $289,000   1-1   1,173    
    326   $315,000   1-1   1,174           313   $500,000   1-2   2,085    
    226   $319,000   1-1   1,174       Nov   PH1   $950,000   3-2   2,213    
    220   $340,000   1-1   1,549       Dec   118   $305,000   2-1   1,282    
    113   $390,000   1-1   2,051           123   $800,000   2-2   3,100    
    223   $465,000   2-2   1,930                            
    313   $500,000   1-2   2,085                            
May   125   $255,000   1-1   1,169                            
Aug   228   $329,000   1-1   1,440                            
                                             
MUSEUM PARC     300 3rd Street   233 Units
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size       Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size    
Jan   603   $117,000   0-1   521       Aug   520   $260,000   2-2   1,250    
Feb   303   $111,000   0-1   521       Sept   403   $110,000   0-1   521    
    1003   $122,000   0-1   521           609   $135,000   0-1   570    
Mar   706   $315,000   2-2   1,472           1210   $138,000   0-1   660    
April   524   $198,000   1-1   865           915   $190,000   1-1   845    
    1204   $210,000   1-1   853           1408   $235,000   1-1   804    
May   511   $193,000   1-1   1,000           902   $268,000   2-2   1,151    
    822   $193,000   1-1   871           1406   $453,000   2-2   1,433    
    922   $187,000   1-1   871           1201   $499,000   2-2   1,490    
    1211   $210,000   1-1   1,000       Oct   912   $183,000   1-1   892    
    1512   $278,000   1-1   960           804   $190,000   1-1   853    
June   1210   $123,000   0-1   660       Nov   911   $185,000   1-1   1,000    
    1004   $220,000   1-1   853           602   $275,000   2-2   1,190    
    1505   $280,000   1-1   853       Dec   914   $189,000   1-1   837    
    818   $429,000   2-2   1,542           507   $228,000   1-1.5   1,000    
Aug   509   $130,000   0-1   570           407   $225,000   1-1.5   1,000    
    1403   $138,000   0-1   521                            
    1011   $219,000   1-1   1,000                            
PORTSIDE   38 Bryant Street   59 Units
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size     Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size
May   408   $342,000   2-2   1,100     Sept   403   $259,000   1-1   854
Aug   401   $249,000   1-1   666     Oct   905   $280,000   1-1   804
                      Nov   902   $570,000   2-2   1,247
PORTRERO SQUARE   701 Minnesota   58 Units  
Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size       Month   Unit   Sale   Type   Size      
July   111   $246,000   2-1   1,181           120   $355,000   2-1   1,565      
Sept   210   $289,000   2-1   1,277       Nov   102   $260,000   2-1   1,229      
                                               
                                               

SOUTH PARK 10 South Park 10 Units No resales to date.

When selling prices appear for South Park, it will be a momentous occasion. There has not been a sale in this sought after building since it's initial occupancy. A recent face lift, makes it an even a more desirable property. As demand continues to mount for this prestigious location, expect to see some resales in the building. Hopefully, it will be brought to the world on my web site! www.somapro.com

 

ed@somapro.com

415 441-0656 ext 266